Two-Term Presidents: Post-WWII Partisan Trends

Post-World War II Midterm Elections Following Presidential Reelection

The "Six Year Itch"
Year President Party In-Party Seat Change: House In-Party Seat Change: Senate
1958 Eisenhower Republican -48 -12
1966 Kennedy/Johnson Democrat -48 -4
1974 Nixon/Ford Republican -48 -4
1986 Reagan Republican -5 -8
1998 Clinton Democrat 5 0
2006 G. W. Bush Republican -30 -6
AVERAGE     -29 -6

Source: Vital Statistics on Congress, 2008

Post-World War II Presidential Elections Following Second Presidential Term

In-party White House wins following 2nd presidential term: 1, losses: 5
Year President Party In-Party Election Result
1960 Eisenhower Republican Lost White House
1968 Kennedy/Johnson Democrat Lost White House
1976 Nixon/Ford Republican Lost White House
1988 Reagan Republican Won White House
2000 Clinton Democrat Lost White House (Lost Electoral Vote, Won Pop. Vote)
2008 G. W. Bush Republican Lost White House

Source: Vital Statistics on Congress, 2008